Indian markets continue to hover near historic highs, and the NIFTY 50 is once again at a pivotal level. As we move into the last week of June, traders and investors are watching for signs of either consolidation or a breakout.
📊 Technical Snapshot: Positive Momentum Holds
- Last Close (June 21): ₹25,112.40
- Key Support Zones: 24,800 – 25,000
- Resistance Areas: 25,300 – 25,500
- Short-Term Trend: Bullish; supported by moving averages and rising volumes
- Signal Strength: Price action remains above short and medium-term EMAs, signaling buyer control
The NIFTY remains above a well-tested support base, and strong buying on upticks signals continued bullish sentiment, as long as the index stays above 25,000.
📉 Options Chain Analysis (Expiry: Thursday, June 26, 2025)
Reviewing the options landscape provides insight into how traders are positioned:
- Max Pain Point: ₹25,000 – this is the level where option sellers face the least loss
- Put-Call Ratio (PCR): 1.12 – indicating a modestly positive bias
- Notable Put Positions: 24,900 and 25,000 – creating a solid support floor
- Key Call Resistance: 25,300 and 25,500 – where heavy call writing suggests overhead supply
This setup suggests a preference for consolidation, with a potential move upward if NIFTY decisively crosses 25,300.
🌐 Global & Domestic Catalysts
⚠️ Geopolitical Tensions
Recent events involving U.S. military actions in Iran have added a layer of uncertainty to global markets.
🛢️ Crude Oil Watch
Brent crude hovering near $80 poses cost and inflation concerns for oil-importing nations like India.
📉 FII Sentiment
Foreign investor flows have cooled off slightly, reflecting global risk aversion.
Domestic Tailwinds
Ongoing IPO activity and supportive regulatory signals from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) continue to underpin local market confidence.
📈 Expected NIFTY Movement: June 23–27, 2025
| Factor | Expectation |
|---|---|
| Market Tone | Cautiously optimistic |
| Projected Range | ₹24,850 – ₹25,300 |
| Upside Trigger | A close above ₹25,300 may lead to ₹25,500+ |
| Downside Watch | A drop below ₹24,850 could see ₹24,400 |
| Main Risk Events | Oil price volatility, geopolitical news |
📝 Final Thoughts
Despite external headwinds, NIFTY remains technically sound heading into the last full trading week of June. The 25,000 level is acting as a critical anchor. If the index manages to stay above this mark while absorbing global shocks, we may see further strength develop.
Traders should monitor global cues and institutional flows closely to confirm any directional moves.
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